Politics
Democrats Projected to Secure 81‑Seat Majority in 2026 House Elections
By NBC News

NBC News’ Decision Desk projects that the Democratic Party will win 258 seats in the 2026 House of Representatives, giving them an 81‑seat majority over the Republican Party. The model, which relies on current vote counts and historical data but does not use polling, estimates that Republicans will secure 177 seats. The projections are based on data supplied by The Associated Press and are part of the Decision Desk’s ongoing race analysis.
Frequently asked questions
How many seats are projected for Democrats in the 2026 House elections?
The model projects that Democrats will win 258 seats.
How many seats are projected for Republicans in the 2026 House elections?
The model projects that Republicans will secure 177 seats.
What data does the Decision Desk model use for its projections?
The model relies on current vote counts and historical data, but does not use polling; the data is supplied by The Associated Press.