Sports

Navone Favored to Beat Carreno Busta in Shanghai Masters Opening Match

By Ryan Leaver

Mariano Navone will face Pablo Carreno Busta in the round of 128 at the ATP Shanghai Masters on Thursday, October 8, 2026, at 1:10 AM ET. A proprietary tennis model projects Navone with a 53 % chance of winning the match and a 53 % chance of taking the first set. The same model estimates that Carreno Busta (+1.5) has a 53 % chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56 % chance of hitting. Current American odds list the moneyline at Navone –144 and Carreno Busta +132, and the first‑set odds at Navone –139 and Carreno Busta +110. The model’s best bet for the moneyline is Carreno Busta at +132 via DraftKings, and for the first set it is Carreno Busta at –135 via DraftKings. The match is part of the ATP Shanghai, China Men’s Singles 2026 tournament. All dates and times are given in U.S. Eastern Time unless otherwise noted. The predictions are generated by Dimers’ tennis prediction model and reviewed by the editorial team for accuracy.